Prediction of Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov at Champaign Challenger 11-14-25

• Recent second serve performance shows Darwin Blanch with a 44.39% point win rate, slightly behind Stefan Kozlov's 45.84%. Does Kozlov have a slight edge here? Yes, according to these figures.
• In return game stats, Blanch has been winning 45.22% of opponents' second serve points, whereas Kozlov achieves 49.26%. For first serve returns, Kozlov leads with 29.36% compared to Blanch's 22.30%. Who shows a stronger return game? Clearly, Kozlov does.
• Under pressure, Blanch manages to save 56.07% of breakpoints, surpassing Kozlov who saves 51.90%. Does this suggest Blanch might handle high-pressure situations better? Indeed, it indicates that.
• Over the last year, Blanch's match win rate stands at 67.14% (47/23), whereas Kozlov holds a marginally superior rate at 67.65% (23/11), indicating similar overall performance levels.
• Both players excel on indoor hard courts with a 64% career win rate. However, Blanch fairs poorly on clay (49% win rate), while Kozlov struggles on grass (38% win rate).
• Blanch has played mainly in lower-level tournaments, winning 77.50% of matches, while Kozlov competes at higher-level events with a 65.38% win rate. Could the higher competition level experienced by Kozlov play a role? Potentially.
• In term of quality of opponents over the past year, Blanch faces an average rank of 369.69, tougher than Kozlov's average opposition ranked 405.74. Does this impact performance? It might give Blanch an edge in handling tougher opponents.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Kozlov excels with a 64% win rate, compared to Blanch's 48%, suggesting he could outlast Blanch in tight situations.

Editorial Prediction (November 14, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the recent performance metrics and strengths of each player, Stefan Kozlov shows a slight edge in several key areas essential for prediction.

Kozlov's slight advantage in second serve performance and superior return stats give him a stronger foundation on court. Additionally, his experience against higher-level competition might pay dividends in this match.

While Darwin Blanch demonstrates resilience under pressure by saving more breakpoints, Kozlov has proven clutch in deciding sets, which could be pivotal in a close match.

Considering these aspects, along with the current trends favoring Kozlov in tense situations, he emerges as the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.